Evaluating the Impact of NPA Dynamics in Selected Indian Banks: A Fifteen-Year Comparative Study

Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact on bank profitability, capital structure, and financial stability and trend analysis regarding non-performing assets [NPAs] performance in selected Indian public sector banks vis-à-vis that observed in private sector ones during fifteen years. Methodology: For this research, a quantitative methodological approach has been used, and for quantifiable data, annual reports from four select banks, which include two public sector banks [The Bank of Baroda, The State Bank Of India] as well as two private sector banks [ICICI Bank Ltd., Nainital bank], are analyzed for the period ranging 2008-09 to 2022-23. The analysis calculates Compound Annual Growth Rates [CAGR] and t-tests, Panel Regression models to determine the relationship between GNPA additions, reductions, and write-offs with closing balances. Findings: A major increase in GNPAs is observed in the research among Scheduled Commercial Banks. The public sector banks found an even larger dynamism in NPA growth rates than private sector banks, manifesting the fluctuation to a high degree. The study identifies GNPA addition, reduction, and write-off as key determinants of their respective closing balances. Even though there have been many policy initiatives, the public sector banks [PSBs] remain at a higher level of NPAs due to governance deficits and political interference. The effectiveness of these predictors on GNPA is also confirmed using the Random Effect Model, thus requiring improved risk management practices. Originality: The content of this article is guaranteed to be original.